Trading Guide for New Trend Followers
One of the keys to being a successful trend follower is not only understanding how the market works, but also understanding your own personality. People don’t readily step out of their comfort zone, especially when it involves money.
- Matt Hagemann
Posted April 5th 2020
The Biggest Obstacle for New Trend Followers
I started trend following in 2007 and perform rather consistently since 2011. I claim to know a thing or two about personality traits that tend to succeed in this business.
Lack of a growth mindset is a primary reason why many traders never make a dime in the stock market. No one would admit not having a growth mindset, but learning how to successfully put your capital to work takes time until objective thinking and methodic execution permeates every step of their trading process.
An essential part of a growth mindset is the ability to learn from mistakes. You have to put a theory to work by testing out if your assumptions are correct. If they are not, you go back to the drawing board to come up with improved assumptions.
This ability is necessary to develop the self-control and perseverance required to generate a positive outcome in the long term.
These features are commonly known as the ‘discipline’ of a trader. But if there is little proof and little will to stick to a proven theory or to learn from mistakes, chances are slim to ever achieve that goal.
A drawdown is regarded as a threat to one’s ego instead of a normal occurrence and an opportunity to improve the system. To make matters worse, failing traders throw the original trading plan out the window and venture on a series of opportunistic decisions. They practically erase the chance to recover from their drawdown.
In order to develop a weathered out trend following system that improves with each setback, you have to be aware that you will be the biggest obstacle to your own success.
Only a growth mindset will be tuned towards a learning process that will yield consistent returns for years to come.
Start Humble and Stay Alert
Arrogantly imposing your views on the market is inevitably doomed to fail. Almost every aspiring trader overestimates their chance of success. They read success stories on Reddit or of their friends and start off overly confident. Instead of venturing out on a journey of self-discovery and developing the skills to observe and to test out strategies, they throw in the towel with the first failed trade.
If you don’t think that you have a growth mindset, think of the last time you tried to improve. When was the last time you actually enjoyed learning and fixing something?
Trend following is a skill that you have to learn in a progressive but humble way. You’re constantly trying to fix mistakes in order to optimize your trend following system. It’s not a skill we are born with but we’re born with the capacity. The same market that brings you to the promised land will bring you to your knees first.
When you follow a trading plan that captures the reality of the market and you stick to it, you will see the results. If something doesn’t work out, you have to face that fact in order to find the mistakes in your approach and try anew.
The ones who make it are the ones that always stay focused, keep an open mind and consistently work on themselves.
Keeping your trend following system simple allows you to keep your focus and motivation in check. Trend following strategies are overdone by many in the industry who forget to keep them as simple as possible. You can complicate trading very quickly and before you know it, you can be looking at 20 screens and 80 different colors.
No Shortcuts or Immediate Gratifications
Trend followers take the slow path. Too many shortcuts are taken in the beginning of trading careers, which causes a rift in the understanding of market principles. This is why many beginning traders try to take the easy way out and look for trading gurus or a trading software with ‘proprietary indicators’.
In order to learn a new skill, a good foundation has to be built first. Automated software is aimed at making everyone think that knowledge about the market isn’t needed.
There is no substitute for screen time spent reading price action, because it builds the mental latticework in the environment where you will be placing your trades in.
You will not develop the knowledge needed to be competitive using a semiautomatic or automatic trading program.
The Person Who Teaches You the Most is You
If you exit with a loss, study it. Note down your thought-process before, during and after the trade. You should prepare a checklist that you run through in order to ensure that you will always follow the same rules with every trade.
Then you can identify the potential for improvement. If you have rules and the rules need adjusting, that’s helpful insight which will spur progress. If there weren’t any rules in the first place, nothing can be learned or improved. You have needlessly wasted money. Was it a trade that could have been avoided or was it taken hastily?
This is one of the most important aspects of trading: If you do not spend the time learning from your mistakes, you are sure to repeat them in the future. Trades that run against your initial assumption happen to everyone.
The difference between those who make it and those who don’t is that successful traders limit mistakes they make repeatedly.
Simplicity is the Way Forward
A significant leap forward to me was the elimination of practically all indicators after realizing that they didn’t contribute positively. They rather contributed negatively by contradicting each other and causing analysis paralysis. Many great opportunities have passed by me that where so obvious in price action, but not taken due to inconsistent signals from indicators.
The single most important thing that you can master is price action. Read and understand the market. You don’t have to place trades in the beginning. Just watch and learn first. Once we have a better ‘feel’ for price action, and why the market moves the way it does, indicators become secondary and price action becomes the primary thing we pay attention to. It’s the price that we are trading after all, not indicators.
There is no software, indicator, or trading guru that can take that away from you. The old adage is true, ”Give a man a fish and feed him for one night; teach a man to fish and feed him for a lifetime”.
Indicators are always lagging which means that they are calculating market movements in a delay. Make sure to focus on price action and learn how to read the market.
I’ve worked on a special charting setup that will give you immediate insights as to which way you should trade. It’s super simple to configure and I have a step-by-step guide ready for you. Share your email address and I’ll send it over.